24.10.08

Like Goldwater, Like McCain

I have been saying this for weeks. (I rest my case!!!)

(SOURCE: http://www.electoral-vote.com/)

Today's Polls

Polling is starting to get very intensive as we move down the homestretch. The University of Wisconsin released a batch of polls in eight key Midwestern states yesterday. Barack Obama is leading in all of them by 10 points or more. His worst state is Indiana, where he is leading 51% to 41%. If Obama can win red states like Indiana by 10 points, this is going to be the biggest Democratic landslide since Johnson crushed Goldwater in 1964. Virtually none of today's polls have good news for John McCain. He is behind in all the states Kerry won plus FloridaIndiana, and Ohio, the latter by 12 points in one poll and 14 in another. There is every indication that the economy is taking McCain down.

StateObamaMcCainStartEndPollster
Arkansas36%51%Oct 01Oct 21U. of Arkansas
California56%33%Oct 12Oct 19Public Policy Inst. of Calif.
Florida49%42%Oct 20Oct 22Polling Company
Florida49%44%Oct 16Oct 21Quinnipiac U.
Georgia46%51%Oct 22Oct 22Rasmussen
Iowa52%39%Oct 19Oct 22U. of Wisconsin
Illinois61%32%Oct 19Oct 22U. of Wisconsin
Indiana49%45%Oct 21Oct 22SurveyUSA
Indiana51%41%Oct 19Oct 22U. of Wisconsin
Kansas41%53%Oct 21Oct 22SurveyUSA
Kentucky39%55%Oct 19Oct 21Research 2000
Louisiana41%57%Oct 21Oct 21Rasmussen
Maine56%35%Oct 16Oct 19Critical Insights
Michigan51%37%Oct 19Oct 22EPIC-MRA
Michigan58%36%Oct 19Oct 22U. of Wisconsin
Minnesota50%40%Oct 16Oct 20Financial Dynamics
Minnesota56%41%Oct 22Oct 22Rasmussen
Minnesota57%38%Oct 19Oct 22U. of Wisconsin
Montana44%40%Oct 16Oct 20Montana State U.
Ohio52%38%Oct 16Oct 21Quinnipiac U.
Ohio53%41%Oct 19Oct 22U. of Wisconsin
Oregon48%34%Oct 10Oct 20Riley Research
Pennsylvania51%41%Oct 16Oct 20Financial Dynamics
Pennsylvania52%41%Oct 19Oct 22U. of Wisconsin
Pennsylvania52%42%Oct 18Oct 22Muhlenberg Coll.
Pennsylvania53%40%Oct 16Oct 21Quinnipiac U.
Pennsylvania53%41%Oct 21Oct 22SurveyUSA
Texas44%54%Oct 21Oct 21Rasmussen
Washington54%43%Oct 22Oct 22Rasmussen
Wisconsin53%40%Oct 16Oct 20Financial Dynamics
Wisconsin53%40%Oct 19Oct 22U. of Wisconsin
West Virginia44%49%Oct 20Oct 21West Virginia Wesleyan U.

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