19.10.07

Research Request (Reg China and Sudan)

Heard at a progressive bar in Phoenix

"China imports most of its oil from Sudan"

Totally incorrect (to be polite)

Monday, Oct. 18, 2004
By MATTHEW FORNEY
China's stepped-up oil diplomacy and its increasingly competitive stance in world oil markets are already creating friction with countries such as India, which like China has a bustling economy and a growing oil habit to satisfy. Earlier this year, ONGC Videsh, the overseas investment arm of India's largest oil-and-gas producer, was on the verge of completing a deal that would have given it an 11% stake in a proven oil field in Sudan. While the company waited for the necessary approval from India's Cabinet, CNPC swooped in with an offer that was reportedly 17% higher, and snatched the oil deal for China. "The Chinese are definitely very aggressive in the price they are willing to pay," says R.S. Butola, managing director of ONGC Videsh. Similarly, Vietnam's leaders recently complained to visiting Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao about CNOOC's intent to conduct seismic testing near the Spratly Islands in partnership with the Philippine National Oil Co. The Spratlys, a mostly uninhabited archipelago in the South China Sea, are believed to harbor commercial deposits of oil and gas, but sovereignty over the islands has long been disputed by Vietnam, China, the Philippines, Malaysia and Taiwan.

Undaunted by such diplomatic sensitivities, Beijing has demonstrated its willingness to focus first on protecting its energy interests. Last month, the United Nations discussed imposing sanctions on Sudan as a punishment for sponsoring human-rights abuses in Darfur. China has invested a reported $15 billion in Sudanese oil projects, and Sudan nowadays supplies about 7% of China's oil imports. China, which sits on the U.N. Security Council, threatened to veto the sanctions. The U.N. instead passed a watered-down measure.

(http://http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,501041025-725174,00.html)


Ghost road to boost India-China trade

Published: October 19 2007 17:37 | Last updated: October 19 2007 17:37

Overgrown and disused for much of the last 60 years, a ghost road that connects India to China via Burma will soon reappear on maps of the region.

Dismissed by Winston Churchill as a “laborious task, unlikely to be finished until the need for it has passed”, the construction of the road claimed the lives of 1,100 US servicemen and many more local labourers during the second world war.

But when a convoy led by US General Joseph W. Stilwell in February 1945 completed the journey from Indian Assam to Kunming, capital of China’s Yunnan province, it helped bust a three-year Japanese land and sea blockade of China and hastened the end of the war.

Its military purpose served, the road rapidly deteriorated, disappearing altogether in parts of Burma.

Six decades later, the road is again the scene of a race against time. As India and China vie for influence in Burma while seeking to boost their own bilateral trade, Asia’s two emerging economic giants are restoring the historic highway.

This helps to explain why India and China have been reluctant to condemn Burma’s crackdown on pro-democracy protesters, while the international community has set about trying to punish the military junta.

Although India was critical of a previous Burmese crackdown in 1988, it began to reverse policy in the early 1990s, judging that its moralising had been counter-productive and was adversely affecting national security interests by pushing the junta into China’s arms.

China has already converted its own 680km stretch into a six-lane highway and is helping to rebuild much of the road inside Burma. India is further behind, expecting to complete the transformation of a single-lane track ridden with pot-holes into a two-lane highway by March.

New Delhi, keen to connect India’s insurgency-ridden north-east with the fast-growing markets of south-west China and south-east Asia, is also expected to help build part of the 1,000km-long Burmese section.

“There is hardly any traffic on the road, but this will change,” says Ganga Sharma, a businessman who owns two small trucks and is hoping for increased cross-border trade through the nearby Pangsau Pass, now limited to fortnightly fairs.

The $30m (£14.6m, €21m) Stilwell Road project is just one of the infrastructure projects that will soon span the 1,880km Indo-Burmese border. The most important is the Kaladan Multi-Modal Transit Transport Facility, which will allow goods to be sent from India’s landlocked north-east down the Kaladan river to Burma’s Sitwe port.

BSNL and TCIL, two state-owned Indian telecoms groups, are planning fibre optic cable links connecting India’s north-eastern state of Manipur with Burma, and beyond to Thailand, Malaysia and Singapore.

Efforts are also under way to create a rail link through Burma from Jiribham in Assam to Hanoi, the Vietnamese capital. A “trilateral” highway project proposes to connect the city of Morer in Manipur to Mae Sot in Thailand – again via Burma.

“By gradually integrating this region [with south-east and east Asia] through cross-border market access, the north-eastern states can become the bridge between the Indian economy and what is beyond doubt the fastest-growing and dynamic region in the world,” Pranab Mukherjee, India’s foreign minister, told a recent seminar.

India’s efforts to develop the north-east have been spurred by China’s rapid rise and an outstanding territorial dispute over part of an area cut off from mainland India by the creation of Bangladesh in 1947.

But after a humiliating defeat to China in border conflicts in 1962, India has belatedly realised that the best way of securing the north-east is through its development.

There is much to do. Per capita incomes in India’s north-eastern states are nearly 30 per cent lower than in the rest of the country and the 12 per cent unemployment rate is nearly twice the national rate. Poverty and unemployment have also driven the spread of separatist groups in the area.

Mani Shankar Aiyar, India’s minister for the north-east region, sees Beijing’s concerted development of its south-west, once the poorest region in China, and the history of the Stilwell road as an inspiration: “If the Japanese could be defeated because you are able to link Assam with south-west China, can’t we defeat the Japanese once again in the economic race by linking the north-east region with south-west China?”


(http://www.ft.com)

17.10.07

Poll: Americans want fewer illegal immigrants in U.S., but only three in 10 say all of them should be deported

WASHINGTON (CNN) -- Most Americans would like there to be fewer illegal immigrants in the country, but only three in 10 say all of them should be deported, a CNN Opinion Research poll said Wednesday.

A crowd in Manassas, Virginia, where officials are weighing a controversial immigration measure.

Seven percent of those polled said they would like to see the number of illegal immigrants increase, 22 percent said they would like the number to remain the same, 16 percent want it decreased "a little" and 22 percent want it decreased "a lot," according to the poll of 1,212 adult Americans.

Blacks and whites differed over whether the number of illegal immigrants should be increased, with 14 percent of African-Americans saying it should, versus 3 percent of whites.

Nineteen percent of blacks said they thought all illegal immigrants should be removed from the country; 35 percent of whites said that.

Blacks and whites overwhelmingly oppose state governments issuing driver's licenses to illegal immigrants, with 76 percent of blacks and 83 percent of whites taking that stance, the poll said.

The races differed more on whether state and local police should turn over illegal immigrants

they encounter, even if the immigrants have broken no state or local laws. In such cases, 45 percent of blacks and 61 percent of whites said they believe police should turn over illegal immigrants.

Asked whether people who cannot read or write English should be allowed to vote, 54 percent of blacks said they should, versus 43 percent of whites.

The Voting Rights Act of 1965 eliminated voting barriers such as a literacy test.

On a related topic, the public appeared split on foreign trade -- 46 percent said they see trade more as an opportunity for economic growth, whereas 45 percent said they see it as a threat to the U.S. economy. Five percent said they see it as both an opportunity and a threat.

The telephone poll was carried out Friday through Sunday and had a sampling error of plus-or-minus 3.5 percentage points.

(http://www.cnn.com)

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